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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Croatia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,832
Next 10 years
0.60%
1 in 166
Life expectancy
76
about 59 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents37%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  2. 02Suicide16%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)11%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  4. 04Other cancers4.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 05Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease3.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  7. 07Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  8. 08Accidental poisoning & overdose2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
Show the other 17 causes21% together
  1. 09Leukaemia & lymphoma2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  2. 10Congenital conditions2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  3. 11Other causes1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  4. 12Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  5. 13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  6. 14Homicide1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  7. 15Brain cancer1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  8. 16Other accidents1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  9. 17Drowning1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  10. 18Other digestive disease1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  11. 19Pneumonia & flu0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  12. 20Drug use disorder0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  13. 21COVID-190.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  14. 22Falls0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  15. 23Kidney disease0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  16. 24COPD & chronic lung disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  17. 25Diabetes0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Croatia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Croatia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Croatia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.