Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Ireland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.01%
1 in 6,767
Next 10 years
0.17%
1 in 581
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide19%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  2. 02Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)15%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose9.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  4. 04Brain cancer7.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  5. 05Other cancers7.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  6. 06Road accidents7.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  7. 07Congenital conditions6.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma3.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
Show the other 17 causes24% together
  1. 09Heart failure & other heart disease3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
  2. 10Uterine & ovarian cancer3.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  3. 11Stomach cancer1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  4. 12Other lung disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  5. 13Other accidents1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  6. 14Other causes1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  7. 15Other mental health conditions1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  8. 16Colorectal cancer1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  9. 17Homicide1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  10. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  11. 19COVID-190.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  12. 20Falls0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  13. 21Lung cancer0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  14. 22Breast cancer0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  15. 23Cervical cancer0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  16. 24Pneumonia & flu0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  17. 25Pregnancy & childbirth0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Ireland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Ireland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Ireland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.