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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Lithuania most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,926
Next 10 years
0.24%
1 in 410
Life expectancy
82
about 65 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide12%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  2. 02Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  3. 03Stomach cancer7.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  4. 04Other digestive disease7.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  5. 05Road accidents7.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu5.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  7. 07Falls5.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  8. 08Other causes5.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
Show the other 14 causes38% together
  1. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.8%
  2. 10Brain cancer4.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  3. 11Other cancers3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  4. 12Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  5. 13Accidental poisoning & overdose3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  6. 14Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  7. 15Congenital conditions2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  8. 16Pregnancy & childbirth2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  9. 17Liver cancer2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  10. 18Diabetes2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  11. 19Drowning2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  12. 20Homicide2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  13. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 36%
  14. 22Cervical cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Vilties linija on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Lithuania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Lithuania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Lithuania

How long people like this live: life expectancy.