Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Latvia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.07%
1 in 1,396
Next 10 years
1.0%
1 in 97
Life expectancy
71
about 54 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide18%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  2. 02Road accidents13%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease13%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)7.6%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 05Accidental poisoning & overdose7.2%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  6. 06Other accidents6.8%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  7. 07Drowning6.7%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
Show the other 21 causes23% together
  1. 09Other cancers3.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  2. 10Homicide2.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  3. 11Brain cancer2.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  4. 12Leukaemia & lymphoma1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  5. 13Other digestive disease1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  6. 14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  7. 15Pneumonia & flu1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 16High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  9. 17Liver cancer1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  10. 18Congenital conditions1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  11. 19Other causes1.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  12. 20Stroke0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  13. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 23%
  14. 22Alcohol use disorder0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  15. 23Falls0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  16. 24Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  17. 25Melanoma (skin cancer)0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  18. 26Other mental health conditions0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  19. 27Colorectal cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  20. 28Stomach cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  21. 29Kidney disease0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national crisis line on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Latvia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Latvia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.