Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in the Netherlands most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,396
Next 10 years
0.38%
1 in 265
Life expectancy
81
about 64 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide34%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  2. 02Road accidents18%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)7.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 04Accidental poisoning & overdose5.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  5. 05Other cancers3.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  6. 06Other causes3.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  7. 07Leukaemia & lymphoma3.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  8. 08Homicide2.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
Show the other 26 causes23% together
  1. 09Heart failure & other heart disease2.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  2. 10Congenital conditions2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  3. 11Drowning2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  4. 12Falls2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  5. 13Brain cancer2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  6. 14Other mental health conditions1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  7. 15Pneumonia & flu1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  8. 16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  9. 17Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  10. 18Other digestive disease1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  11. 19Colorectal cancer0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  12. 20Stroke0.73%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  13. 21Other accidents0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  14. 22High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  15. 23Alcohol use disorder0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  16. 24Lung cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  17. 25Diabetes0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  18. 26Drug use disorder0.24%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  19. 27Liver cancer0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  20. 28Kidney disease0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  21. 29COPD & chronic lung disease0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  22. 30Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  23. 31Stomach cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  24. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  25. 33Other lung disease0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  26. 34COVID-190.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 113, 113 Zelfmoordpreventie — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in the Netherlands, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the Netherlands (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in the Netherlands

How long people like this live: life expectancy.