Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Norway most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,490
Next 10 years
0.51%
1 in 196
Life expectancy
82
about 65 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide36%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose14%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  3. 03Road accidents11%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)9.2%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 05Drowning3.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  6. 06Other cancers2.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  7. 07Other accidents2.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  8. 08Other causes2.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
Show the other 20 causes19% together
  1. 09Other mental health conditions2.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  2. 10Leukaemia & lymphoma2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  3. 11Homicide2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  4. 12Heart failure & other heart disease1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  5. 13Falls1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  6. 14High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  7. 15Melanoma (skin cancer)1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  8. 16Brain cancer0.94%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  9. 17Pneumonia & flu0.94%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  10. 18Congenital conditions0.81%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  11. 19Diabetes0.81%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  12. 20Liver cancer0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  13. 21Other lung disease0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  14. 22COPD & chronic lung disease0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  15. 23Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  16. 24Other digestive disease0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  17. 25Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
  18. 26Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  19. 27Stroke0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  20. 28COVID-190.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Mental Helse on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Norway, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Norway (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Norway

How long people like this live: life expectancy.