Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Sweden most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,368
Next 10 years
0.48%
1 in 209
Life expectancy
82
about 65 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide33%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  2. 02Homicide12%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose12%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  4. 04Road accidents8.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  5. 05Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)7.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  6. 06Other cancers3.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  7. 07Other accidents3.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
Show the other 25 causes16% together
  1. 09Congenital conditions2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  2. 10Heart failure & other heart disease1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  3. 11Brain cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  4. 12Diabetes1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  5. 13Stroke0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  6. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  7. 15Drowning0.93%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  8. 16Other digestive disease0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  9. 17Drug use disorder0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  10. 18Other causes0.70%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  11. 19Kidney disease0.57%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  12. 20Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  13. 21Lung cancer0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  14. 22Kidney cancer0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  15. 23Pneumonia & flu0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  16. 24Other lung disease0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  17. 25Liver cancer0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  18. 26Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  19. 27Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  20. 28Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  21. 29Colorectal cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  22. 30Stomach cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  23. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  24. 32Other mental health conditions0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  25. 33Complications around birth0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Självmordslinjen on 90101 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Sweden, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Sweden (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Sweden

How long people like this live: life expectancy.