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Free risk check · real data

What is a 22-year-old man in Serbia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
22
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.07%
1 in 1,478
Next 10 years
0.83%
1 in 121
Life expectancy
74
about 52 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents16%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease14%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 19%
  3. 03Suicide11%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.1%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 05Other cancers4.5%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  6. 06Leukaemia & lymphoma4.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  7. 07Other accidents4.3%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  8. 08Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
Show the other 27 causes36% together
  1. 09Pneumonia & flu3.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  2. 10Heart attack & coronary heart disease3.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  3. 11Homicide3.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  4. 12Stroke2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.4%
  5. 13Other digestive disease2.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  6. 14High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  7. 15Brain cancer2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  8. 16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 17Colorectal cancer1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  10. 18Falls1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  11. 19Drowning1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  12. 20Accidental poisoning & overdose1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  13. 21Congenital conditions1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  14. 22Other mental health conditions0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  15. 23Stomach cancer0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  16. 24Kidney disease0.84%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  17. 25Other causes0.84%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  18. 26Other lung disease0.82%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  19. 27Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  20. 28Lung cancer0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  21. 29COPD & chronic lung disease0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  22. 30Diabetes0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  23. 31Drug use disorder0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  24. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  25. 33Kidney cancer0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  26. 34COVID-190.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  27. 35Pancreatic cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national SOS line on 0800 309 309, option 1 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in Serbia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Serbia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 20–24 in Serbia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Serbia

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Serbia's national screening programmes (Batut Institute) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.