Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 27-year-old man in Belarus most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
27
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.12%
1 in 828
Next 10 years
2.1%
1 in 48
Life expectancy
70
about 43 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease17%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  2. 02Suicide15%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose14%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  4. 04Road accidents6.8%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  5. 05Other accidents5.3%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.3%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 30%
  7. 07Falls3.5%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 08Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)3.2%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
Show the other 29 causes31% together
  1. 09Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  2. 10Drowning2.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  3. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  4. 12Pneumonia & flu2.5%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 13Other digestive disease2.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 14Stroke2.3%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  7. 15Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.2%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 16Other cancers1.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  9. 17Homicide1.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  10. 18High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  11. 19Brain cancer1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  12. 20Alcohol use disorder0.99%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  13. 21Congenital conditions0.82%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  14. 22Stomach cancer0.81%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  15. 23Leukaemia & lymphoma0.68%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  16. 24Kidney disease0.58%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  17. 25Colorectal cancer0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  18. 26Other causes0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  19. 27Other lung disease0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  20. 28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  21. 29Diabetes0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  22. 30Lung cancer0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  23. 31Liver cancer0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  24. 32Other mental health conditions0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  25. 33Drug use disorder0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  26. 34Pancreatic cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  27. 35Kidney cancer0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  28. 36Oesophageal cancer0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  29. 37Breast cancer0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 133, the national psychological emergency line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

Causes estimated. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. How

For people like a 27-year-old man in Belarus, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belarus (2018), Belstat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 25–29 in Belarus

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 27-year-old man in Belarus

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.