Odainn
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What is a 47-year-old woman in Belarus most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
47
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.26%
1 in 379
Next 10 years
3.8%
1 in 27
Life expectancy
81
about 34 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease11%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 32%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease8.0%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  3. 03Stroke7.9%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 23%
  4. 04Breast cancer7.3%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  5. 05Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)6.6%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.6%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  7. 07Uterine & ovarian cancer5.1%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 08Cervical cancer3.6%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
Show the other 35 causes45% together
  1. 09Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.2%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  2. 10Other cancers3.2%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  3. 11Other digestive disease2.9%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 12Suicide2.7%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  5. 13Lung cancer2.5%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  6. 14Colorectal cancer2.2%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 15Accidental poisoning & overdose2.1%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  8. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.9%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  9. 17Stomach cancer1.9%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  10. 18Pneumonia & flu1.9%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  11. 19Other accidents1.8%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  12. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.8%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  13. 21Other causes1.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  14. 22Pancreatic cancer1.6%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  15. 23Brain cancer1.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  16. 24Road accidents1.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  17. 25Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.3%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  18. 26Falls1.2%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  19. 27Homicide1.2%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  20. 28Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.97%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  21. 29Kidney disease0.75%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  22. 30Alcohol use disorder0.72%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  23. 31Liver cancer0.59%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  24. 32Kidney cancer0.59%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  25. 33Drowning0.53%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 34Diabetes0.50%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  27. 35Oesophageal cancer0.50%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  28. 36Dementia & Alzheimer's0.48%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  29. 37Congenital conditions0.44%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  30. 38COPD & chronic lung disease0.34%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  31. 39Other mental health conditions0.30%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  32. 40Bladder cancer0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  33. 41Other lung disease0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  34. 42Parkinson's disease0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  35. 43Drug use disorder0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 133, the national psychological emergency line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

Causes estimated. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. How

For people like a 47-year-old woman in Belarus, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belarus (2018), Belstat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 45–49 in Belarus

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Belarus

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

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