Odainn
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What is a 77-year-old woman in Belarus most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
77
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
4.0%
1 in 25
Next 10 years
54%
about 5 in 10
Life expectancy
87
about 10 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease34%
    18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 36%
  2. 02Stroke25%
    14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 26%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease10%
    5.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04Dementia & Alzheimer's6.7%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease4.2%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  6. 06Other digestive disease1.9%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 07Other cancers1.8%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.7%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
Show the other 34 causes14% together
  1. 09Parkinson's disease1.6%
    0.88% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  2. 10Colorectal cancer1.5%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  3. 11Breast cancer1.3%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  4. 12Uterine & ovarian cancer1.0%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  5. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma0.97%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  6. 14Pancreatic cancer0.93%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  7. 15Lung cancer0.76%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  8. 16Kidney disease0.64%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  9. 17Stomach cancer0.62%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  10. 18Falls0.48%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  11. 19Pneumonia & flu0.47%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  12. 20Other causes0.41%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  13. 21Kidney cancer0.36%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  14. 22Other accidents0.32%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  15. 23Brain cancer0.29%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  16. 24Liver cancer0.28%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  17. 25Diabetes0.25%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  18. 26Cervical cancer0.23%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  19. 27Bladder cancer0.21%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  20. 28Suicide0.19%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  21. 29COPD & chronic lung disease0.19%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  22. 30Other mental health conditions0.16%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  23. 31Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.16%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  24. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.13%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  25. 33Accidental poisoning & overdose0.12%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  26. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.12%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  27. 35Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.08%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  28. 36Oesophageal cancer0.08%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  29. 37Road accidents0.07%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 38Other lung disease0.06%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 39Congenital conditions0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 40Alcohol use disorder0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 41Drowning0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 42Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 133, the national psychological emergency line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

Causes estimated. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. How

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Belarus, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belarus (2018), Belstat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 75–79 in Belarus

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Belarus

Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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