Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 77-year-old woman in Iceland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
77
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
2.4%
1 in 42
Next 10 years
41%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 12 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's17%
    6.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 20%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease10%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  3. 03COPD & chronic lung disease9.0%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease6.9%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  5. 05Lung cancer6.4%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  6. 06Stroke6.2%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.5%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  8. 08Breast cancer3.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
Show the other 33 causes37% together
  1. 09Other cancers3.0%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  2. 10Parkinson's disease2.7%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  3. 11Other digestive disease2.7%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  4. 12Other causes2.6%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  5. 13Pneumonia & flu2.6%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  6. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma2.1%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  7. 15Colorectal cancer1.9%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 16Pancreatic cancer1.8%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  9. 17Uterine & ovarian cancer1.8%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  10. 18Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.8%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  11. 19Other accidents1.8%
    0.72% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  12. 20Kidney disease1.5%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  13. 21Diabetes1.1%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  14. 22Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.1%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  15. 23Falls1.0%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  16. 24Other lung disease0.90%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  17. 25Kidney cancer0.86%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  18. 26Melanoma (skin cancer)0.72%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  19. 27COVID-190.66%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  20. 28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.58%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  21. 29Stomach cancer0.53%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  22. 30Liver cancer0.52%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  23. 31Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.43%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  24. 32Brain cancer0.38%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  25. 33Cervical cancer0.33%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  26. 34Bladder cancer0.33%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  27. 35Oesophageal cancer0.29%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  28. 36Drowning0.14%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  29. 37Alcohol use disorder0.10%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  30. 38Road accidents0.10%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 39Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.10%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  32. 40Other mental health conditions0.09%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  33. 41Drug use disorder0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the Red Cross helpline on 1717 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Iceland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 75–79 in Iceland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Iceland

Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.