Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old woman in Belarus most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
87
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
13%
1 in 8
Next 10 years
93%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
92
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease39%
    36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 39%
  2. 02Stroke26%
    25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 26%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease12%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  4. 04Dementia & Alzheimer's7.9%
    7.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.0%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease4.1%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.5%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  7. 07Other digestive disease1.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 08Other cancers0.98%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
Show the other 33 causes7.3% together
  1. 09Parkinson's disease0.84%
    0.78% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  2. 10Colorectal cancer0.71%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  3. 11Breast cancer0.63%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  4. 12Falls0.59%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  5. 13Kidney disease0.55%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  6. 14Pneumonia & flu0.47%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  7. 15Pancreatic cancer0.39%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  8. 16Uterine & ovarian cancer0.31%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  9. 17Leukaemia & lymphoma0.30%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  10. 18Stomach cancer0.29%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  11. 19Other accidents0.28%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  12. 20Lung cancer0.26%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  13. 21Other causes0.26%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  14. 22Kidney cancer0.18%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  15. 23Bladder cancer0.16%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  16. 24Diabetes0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  17. 25Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.12%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  18. 26COPD & chronic lung disease0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  19. 27Liver cancer0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  20. 28Cervical cancer0.09%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  21. 29Suicide0.08%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  22. 30Brain cancer0.07%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  23. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  24. 32Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  25. 33Other lung disease0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  26. 34Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  27. 35Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  28. 36Oesophageal cancer0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 37Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 38Road accidents0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 39Other mental health conditions0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 40Drowning0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  33. 41Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 133, the national psychological emergency line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

Causes estimated. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. How

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Belarus, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belarus (2018), Belstat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 85–89 in Belarus

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Belarus

Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.