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Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old woman in Luxembourg most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
87
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
8.4%
1 in 12
Next 10 years
83%
about 8 in 10
Life expectancy
93
about 6 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease18%
    15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's15%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  3. 03Stroke6.9%
    5.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.1%
    5.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  5. 05Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.5%
    4.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu4.8%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  7. 07Other causes4.6%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  8. 08Other digestive disease3.4%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
Show the other 29 causes36% together
  1. 09COPD & chronic lung disease3.3%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  2. 10Other cancers3.0%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  3. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.6%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  4. 12Other lung disease2.6%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 13Other accidents2.3%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  6. 14Kidney disease2.1%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  7. 15Colorectal cancer2.1%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  8. 16Breast cancer2.1%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  9. 17Diabetes2.0%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  10. 18Falls1.8%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  11. 19Parkinson's disease1.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  12. 20COVID-191.3%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  13. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.3%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  14. 22Lung cancer1.2%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 23Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.2%
    0.99% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  16. 24Uterine & ovarian cancer0.90%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  17. 25Pancreatic cancer0.89%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  18. 26Other mental health conditions0.50%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  19. 27Kidney cancer0.49%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  20. 28Bladder cancer0.49%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  21. 29Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.47%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  22. 30Liver cancer0.35%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  23. 31Stomach cancer0.28%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  24. 32Oesophageal cancer0.21%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  25. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.21%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  26. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.20%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  27. 35Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.16%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  28. 36Alcohol use disorder0.11%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  29. 37Brain cancer0.09%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call SOS Détresse on 45 45 45 (11:00–23:00; Fri–Sat to 03:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Luxembourg, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Luxembourg (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 85–89 in Luxembourg

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Luxembourg

Based on Luxembourg's national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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