Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old man in Malta most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country

Age

Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months

12%

1 in 9

Next 10 years

90%

about 9 in 10

Life expectancy

about 5 more years on average

Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

01Heart attack & coronary heart disease17%
16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
02Dementia & Alzheimer's10%
9.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
03Pneumonia & flu8.8%
7.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.2%
04Other lung disease7.4%
6.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.9%
05Heart failure & other heart disease7.3%
6.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
06Stroke6.4%
5.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
07COPD & chronic lung disease4.9%
4.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
08Diabetes4.0%
3.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%

Show the other 29 causes33% together

09Other causes3.6%
3.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
10High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.2%
2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
11Prostate cancer2.7%
2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
12Parkinson's disease2.5%
2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
13Other digestive disease2.4%
2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
14Lung cancer2.4%
2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
15Bladder cancer1.9%
1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.8%
1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
17Colorectal cancer1.8%
1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
18Other cancers1.7%
1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
19Falls1.7%
1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
20Kidney disease1.7%
1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.1%
0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
22Stomach cancer0.90%
0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.88%
23COVID-190.85%
0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
24Pancreatic cancer0.64%
0.57% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
25Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.56%
0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
26Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.38%
0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
27Oesophageal cancer0.30%
0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
28Melanoma (skin cancer)0.24%
0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
29Road accidents0.19%
0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
30Liver cancer0.16%
0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
31Other accidents0.13%
0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
32Kidney cancer0.12%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.12%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
34Brain cancer0.10%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
35Congenital conditions0.10%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
36Drowning0.04%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.04%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%

For people like an 87-year-old man in Malta, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Malta (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 85–89 in Malta

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in Malta

Blood pressure check
every year from 40 (every 3 years before)
Flu vaccine
every autumn — from 60 or 65, depending on your country
Cholesterol & heart-risk check
from 40 (men) / 50 (women), then as your doctor advises
Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal)
from 60 or 65, depending on your country — ask your doctor
Blood sugar test (diabetes)
every 3 years from 35

If you smoke or used to:

Aortic aneurysm scan (ultrasound)
once, men 65+ who have ever smoked · ask your doctor

Based on Malta's National Screening Centre programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal

Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.