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What is a 92-year-old woman in Bulgaria most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
92
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
21%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
97%
more than 9 in 10
Life expectancy
95
about 3 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease31%
    30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 31%
  2. 02Stroke27%
    26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 27%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease17%
    16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease14%
    14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  5. 05Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  6. 06Other digestive disease1.2%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  7. 07Other lung disease1.0%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  8. 08COVID-190.90%
    0.88% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
Show the other 30 causes6.5% together
  1. 09COPD & chronic lung disease0.89%
    0.86% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  2. 10Kidney disease0.88%
    0.85% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  3. 11Colorectal cancer0.60%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  4. 12Diabetes0.57%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  5. 13Breast cancer0.53%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  6. 14Other cancers0.50%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  7. 15Falls0.23%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  8. 16Stomach cancer0.22%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  9. 17Parkinson's disease0.22%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  10. 18Uterine & ovarian cancer0.20%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  11. 19Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.20%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  12. 20Pancreatic cancer0.19%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  13. 21Melanoma (skin cancer)0.17%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  14. 22Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.14%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  15. 23Lung cancer0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  16. 24Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.13%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  17. 25Dementia & Alzheimer's0.10%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  18. 26Other causes0.09%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  19. 27Other accidents0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  20. 28Bladder cancer0.08%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  21. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.08%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  22. 30Liver cancer0.07%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  23. 31Suicide0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  24. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  25. 33Cervical cancer0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  26. 34Road accidents0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  27. 35Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  28. 36Leukaemia & lymphoma0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  29. 37Brain cancer0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  30. 38Kidney cancer0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 92-year-old woman in Bulgaria, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Bulgaria (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 90–94 in Bulgaria

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Bulgaria

Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

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