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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Bulgaria most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 4,791
Next 10 years
0.32%
1 in 310
Life expectancy
80
about 63 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents15%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease9.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 24%
  3. 03Suicide8.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  4. 04Leukaemia & lymphoma7.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu6.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  8. 08Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)4.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
Show the other 19 causes38% together
  1. 09Stroke4.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 22%
  2. 10Other causes3.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  3. 11Other digestive disease3.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  4. 12Pregnancy & childbirth3.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  5. 13Homicide3.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  6. 14Colorectal cancer2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  7. 15Other lung disease2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  9. 17Cervical cancer1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  10. 18Diabetes1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  11. 19Congenital conditions1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  12. 20Other cancers1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  13. 21Brain cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  14. 22COVID-191.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  15. 23Other accidents1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  16. 24Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  17. 25Liver cancer0.56%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  18. 26Uterine & ovarian cancer0.56%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  19. 27Drowning0.56%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Bulgaria, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Bulgaria (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Bulgaria

How long people like this live: life expectancy.