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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Finland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.05%
1 in 1,969
Next 10 years
0.79%
1 in 126
Life expectancy
79
about 62 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide30%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose29%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  3. 03Road accidents7.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.8%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  5. 05Drug use disorder4.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.8%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  7. 07Heart failure & other heart disease2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma2.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
Show the other 17 causes15% together
  1. 09Homicide1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  2. 10Other cancers1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  3. 11Other causes1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  4. 12Congenital conditions1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  5. 13Other accidents1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  6. 14Drowning1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  7. 15High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.97%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  8. 16Brain cancer0.93%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  9. 17Diabetes0.93%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  10. 18Other digestive disease0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  11. 19Stroke0.64%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  12. 20Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  13. 21Oesophageal cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  14. 22COVID-190.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  15. 23Falls0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  16. 24Bladder cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  17. 25COPD & chronic lung disease0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the MIELI crisis line on 09 2525 0111 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Finland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Finland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Finland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.