Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in France most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,030
Next 10 years
0.54%
1 in 186
Life expectancy
80
about 63 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide20%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  2. 02Road accidents19%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  3. 03Other accidents12%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  4. 04Homicide5.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  5. 05Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  7. 07Other cancers3.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  8. 08Drowning3.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
Show the other 31 causes25% together
  1. 09Congenital conditions2.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  2. 10Other causes2.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  3. 11Heart failure & other heart disease2.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
  4. 12Leukaemia & lymphoma2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 13Accidental poisoning & overdose2.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  6. 14Brain cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  7. 15Other digestive disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  8. 16Falls1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  9. 17Stroke0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  10. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.90%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  11. 19Other lung disease0.82%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  12. 20Pneumonia & flu0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  13. 21Diabetes0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  14. 22Drug use disorder0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  15. 23High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.70%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  16. 24Other mental health conditions0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  17. 25Liver cancer0.54%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  18. 26COPD & chronic lung disease0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  19. 27Alcohol use disorder0.44%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  20. 28Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.34%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  21. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.34%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  22. 30COVID-190.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  23. 31Colorectal cancer0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  24. 32Lung cancer0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  25. 33Complications around birth0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  26. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  28. 36Stomach cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  29. 37Kidney disease0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  30. 38Kidney cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  31. 39Oesophageal cancer0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 3114, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in France, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for France (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in France

How long people like this live: life expectancy.