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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Hungary most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.01%
1 in 6,824
Next 10 years
0.25%
1 in 404
Life expectancy
80
about 63 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents15%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  2. 02Suicide11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)8.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  4. 04Other causes8.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 05Congenital conditions6.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  6. 06Leukaemia & lymphoma6.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  7. 07Other accidents5.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  8. 08Other mental health conditions5.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
Show the other 22 causes33% together
  1. 09Heart failure & other heart disease4.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  2. 10Other cancers3.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  3. 11Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  4. 12Other digestive disease2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  6. 14Pneumonia & flu2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  7. 15Accidental poisoning & overdose2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  8. 16Other lung disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  9. 17Breast cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  10. 18Diabetes1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  11. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  12. 20Homicide1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  13. 21Colorectal cancer0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  14. 22Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  15. 23Pregnancy & childbirth0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  16. 24Pancreatic cancer0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  17. 25Falls0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  18. 26Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.65%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 25%
  19. 27COPD & chronic lung disease0.55%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  20. 28Stroke0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.6%
  21. 29Cervical cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  22. 30Uterine & ovarian cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Lelki Elsősegély on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Hungary, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Hungary (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Hungary

How long people like this live: life expectancy.