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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Hungary most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,181
Next 10 years
0.51%
1 in 195
Life expectancy
74
about 57 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide22%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  2. 02Road accidents17%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.8%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  5. 05Other cancers4.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  6. 06Other accidents4.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  7. 07Leukaemia & lymphoma4.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease3.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
Show the other 27 causes33% together
  1. 09Other mental health conditions3.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  2. 10Brain cancer3.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  3. 11Other digestive disease2.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  4. 12Accidental poisoning & overdose2.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  5. 13Drowning2.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  6. 14Other causes2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 15Congenital conditions1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  8. 16Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 23%
  9. 17Other lung disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  10. 18COVID-191.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  11. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  12. 20Homicide0.93%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  13. 21COPD & chronic lung disease0.92%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  14. 22Colorectal cancer0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  15. 23Kidney disease0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  16. 24Stroke0.82%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  17. 25Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.82%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  18. 26High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  19. 27Pneumonia & flu0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  20. 28Liver cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  21. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  22. 30Falls0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  23. 31Lung cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  24. 32Stomach cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  25. 33Kidney cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  26. 34Diabetes0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  27. 35Dementia & Alzheimer's0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Lelki Elsősegély on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Hungary, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Hungary (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Hungary

How long people like this live: life expectancy.