Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Italy most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.01%
1 in 7,337
Next 10 years
0.16%
1 in 641
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents20%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  2. 02Suicide14%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  3. 03Other cancers9.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)8.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 05Leukaemia & lymphoma5.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 06Congenital conditions4.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  7. 07Other causes4.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  8. 08Stroke2.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.2%
Show the other 32 causes31% together
  1. 09Heart failure & other heart disease2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.5%
  2. 10High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  3. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  4. 12Other accidents2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  5. 13Brain cancer2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  6. 14Homicide1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  7. 15Other lung disease1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  8. 16Complications around birth1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  9. 17Other digestive disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  10. 18Uterine & ovarian cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  11. 19Breast cancer1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  12. 20Melanoma (skin cancer)1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  13. 21Pneumonia & flu0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  14. 22Drowning0.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  15. 23Falls0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  16. 24Accidental poisoning & overdose0.86%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  17. 25Other mental health conditions0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  18. 26Lung cancer0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  19. 27Liver cancer0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  20. 28COVID-190.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  21. 29Colorectal cancer0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  22. 30Pregnancy & childbirth0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  23. 31Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.57%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  24. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.48%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  25. 33Stomach cancer0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  26. 34Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  27. 35Kidney cancer0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  28. 36Pancreatic cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  29. 37Cervical cancer0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  30. 38Bladder cancer0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  31. 39Diabetes0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  32. 40Drug use disorder0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Telefono Amico on 02 2327 2327 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Italy, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Italy (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Italy

How long people like this live: life expectancy.