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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Moldova most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,222
Next 10 years
0.44%
1 in 225
Life expectancy
77
about 60 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents15%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  2. 02Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)14%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  3. 03Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)7.9%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  4. 04Other causes6.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  5. 05Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)6.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  6. 06Suicide6.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  7. 07Stroke5.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  8. 08Pregnancy & childbirth5.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
Show the other 16 causes33% together
  1. 09Pneumonia & flu4.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  2. 10Congenital conditions4.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  3. 11Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)3.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  4. 12Drowning3.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  5. 13Diabetes2.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  6. 14Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 42%
  7. 15Heart failure & other heart disease2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 16Breast cancer2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  9. 17Colorectal cancer1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  10. 18Other digestive disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  11. 19Kidney disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  12. 20Other mental health conditions0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  13. 21Other accidents0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  14. 22Liver cancer0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  15. 23Leukaemia & lymphoma0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  16. 24Homicide0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Moldova, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Moldova (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Moldova

How long people like this live: life expectancy.