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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Poland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,910
Next 10 years
0.27%
1 in 369
Life expectancy
82
about 65 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide18%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  2. 02Road accidents16%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)7.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  4. 04Accidental poisoning & overdose5.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  5. 05Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  6. 06Other cancers4.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu4.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma3.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
Show the other 35 causes35% together
  1. 09Other accidents3.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  2. 10Congenital conditions3.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  3. 11Heart failure & other heart disease3.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  4. 12Other causes2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  5. 13Falls2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 14Stroke2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
  7. 15Brain cancer2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  8. 16Other digestive disease2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  9. 17Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  10. 18High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  11. 19Drowning1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  12. 20Other lung disease0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  13. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.87%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  14. 22Other mental health conditions0.81%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  15. 23Breast cancer0.71%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  16. 24Pregnancy & childbirth0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  17. 25Diabetes0.57%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  18. 26Uterine & ovarian cancer0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  19. 27Homicide0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  20. 28Kidney disease0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  21. 29Cervical cancer0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  22. 30Melanoma (skin cancer)0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  23. 31Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 21%
  24. 32Stomach cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  25. 33Liver cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  26. 34Pancreatic cancer0.24%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  27. 35COVID-190.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  28. 36Lung cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  29. 37COPD & chronic lung disease0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  30. 38Alcohol use disorder0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  31. 39Colorectal cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  32. 40Bladder cancer0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  33. 41Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  34. 42Kidney cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  35. 43Drug use disorder0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 800 70 22 22, the 24-hour support line for adults in crisis — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Poland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Poland (2023–2024), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Poland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.