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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Poland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.05%
1 in 2,115
Next 10 years
0.76%
1 in 132
Life expectancy
75
about 58 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide25%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  2. 02Road accidents22%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  3. 03Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  4. 04Accidental poisoning & overdose5.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  5. 05Other accidents4.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  7. 07Other cancers3.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu3.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
Show the other 31 causes26% together
  1. 09Other digestive disease2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  2. 10Falls2.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  3. 11Drowning2.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  4. 12Heart failure & other heart disease2.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  5. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma2.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 14Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  7. 15Congenital conditions1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  8. 16Brain cancer1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  9. 17Stroke1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  10. 18Other causes1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  11. 19High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.92%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.8%
  12. 20Homicide0.77%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  13. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  14. 22Other lung disease0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 23Diabetes0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  16. 24Alcohol use disorder0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  17. 25Other mental health conditions0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  18. 26Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  19. 27Stomach cancer0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  20. 28COVID-190.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  21. 29Kidney disease0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  22. 30Lung cancer0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  23. 31Drug use disorder0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  24. 32Kidney cancer0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  25. 33Colorectal cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  26. 34Liver cancer0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  28. 36Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  29. 37COPD & chronic lung disease0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  30. 38Oesophageal cancer0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  31. 39Pancreatic cancer0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 800 70 22 22, the 24-hour support line for adults in crisis — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Poland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Poland (2023–2024), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Poland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.