Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Portugal most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.01%
1 in 7,165
Next 10 years
0.19%
1 in 524
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)15%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  2. 02Road accidents12%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  3. 03Suicide10%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  4. 04Other cancers9.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  5. 05Congenital conditions6.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  6. 06Other digestive disease4.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  7. 07Homicide3.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma3.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
Show the other 25 causes35% together
  1. 09Other causes3.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  2. 10High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
  3. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  4. 12Pregnancy & childbirth2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  5. 13Other accidents2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  6. 14Brain cancer2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  7. 15Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  8. 16Breast cancer1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  9. 17Stroke1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.6%
  10. 18Heart failure & other heart disease1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  11. 19Other mental health conditions1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  12. 20COVID-191.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  13. 21Stomach cancer1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  14. 22Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  15. 23Colorectal cancer1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  16. 24Melanoma (skin cancer)1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  17. 25Drowning1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  18. 26Other lung disease0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  19. 27Accidental poisoning & overdose0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  20. 28Complications around birth0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  21. 29Pancreatic cancer0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  22. 30Kidney cancer0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  23. 31COPD & chronic lung disease0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  24. 32Pneumonia & flu0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  25. 33Diabetes0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1411, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Portugal, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Portugal (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Portugal

How long people like this live: life expectancy.