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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Serbia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,415
Next 10 years
0.63%
1 in 159
Life expectancy
74
about 57 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents18%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease12%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 19%
  3. 03Suicide12%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)7.6%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 05Leukaemia & lymphoma5.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  6. 06Other cancers5.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  7. 07Homicide5.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu4.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
Show the other 24 causes30% together
  1. 09Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  2. 10Other accidents3.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  3. 11Brain cancer2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  4. 12High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  5. 13Stroke2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.4%
  6. 14Other digestive disease2.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  7. 15Falls1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  8. 16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 17Other lung disease1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  10. 18Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  11. 19Colorectal cancer0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  12. 20Congenital conditions0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  13. 21Drowning0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  14. 22Diabetes0.66%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  15. 23Kidney disease0.66%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  16. 24Other causes0.66%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  17. 25Accidental poisoning & overdose0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  18. 26Melanoma (skin cancer)0.48%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  19. 27COVID-190.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  20. 28Lung cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  21. 29Stomach cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  22. 30Kidney cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  23. 31COPD & chronic lung disease0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  24. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national SOS line on 0800 309 309, option 1 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Serbia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Serbia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Serbia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.