Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Sweden most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 6,016
Next 10 years
0.24%
1 in 419
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide37%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 04Congenital conditions5.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  5. 05Other cancers5.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  6. 06Road accidents3.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  7. 07Brain cancer3.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  8. 08Other accidents3.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
Show the other 19 causes24% together
  1. 09Other causes3.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  2. 10Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  3. 11Homicide2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  4. 12Colorectal cancer2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  5. 13Heart failure & other heart disease2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  6. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 15Pneumonia & flu1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 16Diabetes1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  9. 17Falls1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  10. 18High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  11. 19COVID-190.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  12. 20Stroke0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  13. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
  14. 22Other mental health conditions0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  15. 23Breast cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  16. 24Stomach cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  17. 25Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  18. 26Other digestive disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  19. 27Kidney disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Självmordslinjen on 90101 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Sweden, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Sweden (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Sweden

How long people like this live: life expectancy.