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Free risk check · real data

What is a 22-year-old man in Belgium most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
22
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,611
Next 10 years
0.50%
1 in 201
Life expectancy
81
about 59 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide31%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  2. 02Road accidents14%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  3. 03Other accidents7.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)6.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  5. 05Accidental poisoning & overdose4.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  6. 06Other cancers3.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  7. 07Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 08Homicide2.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
Show the other 29 causes28% together
  1. 09Falls2.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  2. 10Heart failure & other heart disease2.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  3. 11Leukaemia & lymphoma2.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  4. 12Drowning2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  5. 13Drug use disorder1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  6. 14Other causes1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  7. 15Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 16Lung cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  9. 17Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  10. 18High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  11. 19Brain cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  12. 20Congenital conditions0.94%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  13. 21Alcohol use disorder0.93%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  14. 22Pneumonia & flu0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  15. 23Other mental health conditions0.86%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  16. 24Diabetes0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  17. 25Other lung disease0.73%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  18. 26Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  19. 27COVID-190.56%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  20. 28Stomach cancer0.55%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  21. 29Stroke0.51%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  22. 30Other digestive disease0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  23. 31COPD & chronic lung disease0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  24. 32Kidney disease0.31%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  25. 33Liver cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  26. 34Pancreatic cancer0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  28. 36Colorectal cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  29. 37Kidney cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 20–24 in Belgium

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Belgium

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.