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Free risk check · real data

What is a 22-year-old man in Hungary most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
22
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.05%
1 in 1,879
Next 10 years
0.73%
1 in 137
Life expectancy
74
about 52 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide21%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  2. 02Road accidents17%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease5.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)4.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  5. 05Other accidents4.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  7. 07Brain cancer3.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  8. 08Other mental health conditions3.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
Show the other 33 causes38% together
  1. 09Other digestive disease3.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  2. 10Other cancers3.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  3. 11Accidental poisoning & overdose2.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  4. 12Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 23%
  5. 13Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  6. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma2.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  7. 15Other causes1.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  8. 16High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  9. 17Drowning1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  10. 18Congenital conditions1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  11. 19COVID-191.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  12. 20Homicide1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  13. 21Other lung disease1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  14. 22Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  15. 23Stroke1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  16. 24Colorectal cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  17. 25Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  18. 26COPD & chronic lung disease0.94%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  19. 27Kidney disease0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  20. 28Diabetes0.71%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  21. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  22. 30Falls0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  23. 31Lung cancer0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  24. 32Liver cancer0.60%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  25. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  26. 34Stomach cancer0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  27. 35Kidney cancer0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  28. 36Dementia & Alzheimer's0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  29. 37Pancreatic cancer0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  30. 38Bladder cancer0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  31. 39Alcohol use disorder0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  32. 40Oesophageal cancer0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  33. 41Drug use disorder0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Lelki Elsősegély on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in Hungary, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Hungary (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 20–24 in Hungary

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Hungary

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Hungarian national (NNGYK) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.