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Free risk check · real data

What is a 22-year-old woman in Portugal most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
22
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 4,875
Next 10 years
0.25%
1 in 401
Life expectancy
85
about 63 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)14%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  2. 02Road accidents9.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  3. 03Suicide8.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  4. 04Other cancers7.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  5. 05Breast cancer5.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  6. 06Congenital conditions5.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  7. 07Other digestive disease4.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  8. 08Other causes4.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
Show the other 30 causes41% together
  1. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
  2. 10Leukaemia & lymphoma3.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  3. 11Pregnancy & childbirth2.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  4. 12Brain cancer2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  5. 13Homicide2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  6. 14Other accidents2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 15Stomach cancer1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 16Heart failure & other heart disease1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  9. 17Stroke1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.6%
  10. 18Other lung disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  11. 19Accidental poisoning & overdose1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  12. 20COVID-191.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  13. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  14. 22Kidney cancer1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  15. 23Colorectal cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  16. 24Other mental health conditions1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  17. 25Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  18. 26Pancreatic cancer0.79%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  19. 27COPD & chronic lung disease0.79%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  20. 28Pneumonia & flu0.79%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  21. 29Diabetes0.79%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  22. 30Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  23. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  24. 32Cervical cancer0.57%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  25. 33Drowning0.46%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  26. 34Lung cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  27. 35Liver cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  28. 36Uterine & ovarian cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  29. 37Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  30. 38Kidney disease0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1411, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old woman in Portugal, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Portugal (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 20–24 in Portugal

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old woman in Portugal

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.