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What is a 22-year-old man in Türkiye most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
22
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.12%
1 in 809
Next 10 years
1.2%
1 in 82
Life expectancy
77
about 55 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's other accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Other accidents47%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  2. 02Suicide12%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  3. 03Road accidents11%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.5%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  5. 05Homicide2.8%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu2.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.9%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
Show the other 33 causes16% together
  1. 09Heart failure & other heart disease1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.1%
  2. 10Other cancers1.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  4. 12Accidental poisoning & overdose1.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  5. 13Stroke1.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  6. 14Other causes1.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  7. 15Drowning0.97%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  8. 16High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.80%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  9. 17Falls0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  10. 18Other digestive disease0.73%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  11. 19Brain cancer0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  12. 20Kidney disease0.64%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  13. 21Other lung disease0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  14. 22Colorectal cancer0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  15. 23Lung cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  16. 24Diabetes0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  17. 25Congenital conditions0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  18. 26Stomach cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  19. 27Liver cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  20. 28COPD & chronic lung disease0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  21. 29Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  22. 30Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  23. 31Pancreatic cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  24. 32Kidney cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  25. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  26. 34Oesophageal cancer0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  27. 35COVID-190.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  28. 36Bladder cancer0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  29. 37Other mental health conditions0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 39Drug use disorder0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 40Breast cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 41Prostate cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

About these numbers. Türkiye's figures are for 2023, the year of the February earthquakes. About 50,000 earthquake deaths are counted under “other accidents”, so that cause is far higher than in an ordinary year — above all for young adults.

For people like a 22-year-old man in Türkiye, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Türkiye (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Full page with comparisons: men aged 20–24 in Türkiye

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Türkiye

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Türkiye's national cancer screening programmes (Ministry of Health) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
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We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.