Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 27-year-old man in Germany most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
27
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.05%
1 in 2,184
Next 10 years
0.65%
1 in 155
Life expectancy
79
about 52 more years on average
The surpriseAt 27, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide19%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  2. 02Road accidents8.2%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose6.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  5. 05Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)4.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 06Other cancers4.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  7. 07Heart failure & other heart disease3.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.0%
  8. 08Other accidents3.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
Show the other 37 causes47% together
  1. 09Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  2. 10Other causes3.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  3. 11Other digestive disease3.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  4. 12Drug use disorder2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  5. 13Alcohol use disorder2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  6. 14Brain cancer2.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  7. 15High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  8. 16Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  9. 17Falls2.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  10. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma2.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  11. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  12. 20Stroke1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  13. 21Colorectal cancer1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  14. 22Congenital conditions1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  15. 23Other mental health conditions1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  16. 24Lung cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  17. 25Diabetes1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  18. 26Drowning1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  19. 27Pneumonia & flu0.94%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  20. 28Homicide0.90%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  21. 29Other lung disease0.90%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  22. 30COPD & chronic lung disease0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  23. 31Stomach cancer0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  24. 32COVID-190.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  25. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.60%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  26. 34Liver cancer0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  27. 35Kidney disease0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  28. 36Kidney cancer0.34%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  29. 37Oesophageal cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  30. 38Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  31. 39Pancreatic cancer0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  32. 40Complications around birth0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 41Bladder cancer0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  34. 42Parkinson's disease0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  35. 43Prostate cancer0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  36. 44Dementia & Alzheimer's0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  37. 45Breast cancer0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call TelefonSeelsorge on 0800 111 0 111 or 0800 111 0 222 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 27-year-old man in Germany, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Germany (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 25–29 in Germany

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 27-year-old man in Germany

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.