Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 27-year-old man in Spain most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
27
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,380
Next 10 years
0.54%
1 in 184
Life expectancy
82
about 55 more years on average
The surpriseAt 27, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide19%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  2. 02Road accidents13%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose7.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease5.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.8%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 06Other cancers4.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  7. 07Other accidents4.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 08Heart attack & coronary heart disease3.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
Show the other 34 causes38% together
  1. 09Falls3.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  2. 10Leukaemia & lymphoma2.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  3. 11Drowning2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  4. 12Brain cancer2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  5. 13Other lung disease2.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  6. 14Homicide2.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  7. 15Stroke2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  8. 16Other digestive disease1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  9. 17Other causes1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  10. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  11. 19High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  12. 20Pneumonia & flu1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  13. 21Lung cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  14. 22Stomach cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 23Colorectal cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  16. 24Congenital conditions1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  17. 25Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  18. 26Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.81%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  19. 27COPD & chronic lung disease0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  20. 28Liver cancer0.57%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  21. 29Pancreatic cancer0.54%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  22. 30Melanoma (skin cancer)0.53%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  23. 31Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  24. 32Other mental health conditions0.34%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  25. 33COVID-190.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  26. 34Diabetes0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  27. 35Complications around birth0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  28. 36Kidney cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  29. 37Oesophageal cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  30. 38Drug use disorder0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  31. 39Kidney disease0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  32. 40Bladder cancer0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  33. 41Breast cancer0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  34. 42Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 27-year-old man in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 25–29 in Spain

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 27-year-old man in Spain

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.