Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 27-year-old man in Ireland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
27
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.06%
1 in 1,764
Next 10 years
0.61%
1 in 163
Life expectancy
82
about 55 more years on average
The surpriseAt 27, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide26%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose20%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  3. 03Road accidents5.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease4.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  6. 06Drowning3.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  7. 07Other accidents3.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  8. 08Heart attack & coronary heart disease3.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
Show the other 28 causes29% together
  1. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  2. 10Other digestive disease2.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  3. 11Stroke2.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  4. 12Brain cancer1.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  5. 13Other cancers1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  6. 14Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  7. 15Drug use disorder1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  8. 16Colorectal cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  9. 17Falls1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  10. 18Homicide1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  11. 19Other causes1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  12. 20Diabetes1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  13. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  14. 22Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  15. 23Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.85%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  16. 24Alcohol use disorder0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  17. 25Lung cancer0.70%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  18. 26Pneumonia & flu0.55%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  19. 27Oesophageal cancer0.46%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  20. 28Stomach cancer0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  21. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  22. 30Congenital conditions0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  23. 31COVID-190.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  24. 32Liver cancer0.31%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  25. 33Kidney disease0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  26. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  27. 35Kidney cancer0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  28. 36Other lung disease0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 27-year-old man in Ireland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Ireland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 25–29 in Ireland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 27-year-old man in Ireland

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the HSE National Screening Service and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.