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What is a 27-year-old man in Poland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
27
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.10%
1 in 957
Next 10 years
1.5%
1 in 67
Life expectancy
75
about 48 more years on average
The surpriseAt 27, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide21%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  2. 02Road accidents9.9%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  3. 03Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)8.3%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  4. 04Other accidents5.6%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  5. 05Other digestive disease5.3%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  6. 06Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)4.6%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu4.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  8. 08Accidental poisoning & overdose4.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
Show the other 35 causes37% together
  1. 09Heart failure & other heart disease3.7%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  2. 10Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.1%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  3. 11Falls3.1%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  4. 12Other cancers3.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  5. 13Alcohol use disorder3.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  6. 14Stroke3.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  7. 15High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.8%
  8. 16Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.9%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  9. 17Drowning1.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  10. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  11. 19Brain cancer1.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  12. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  13. 21Other causes1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  14. 22Diabetes1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  15. 23Other lung disease0.94%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  16. 24Colorectal cancer0.73%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  17. 25Homicide0.69%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  18. 26Congenital conditions0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  19. 27Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.46%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  20. 28Stomach cancer0.46%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  21. 29Melanoma (skin cancer)0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  22. 30Kidney disease0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  23. 31Lung cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  24. 32Pancreatic cancer0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  25. 33Other mental health conditions0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  26. 34Liver cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  27. 35Drug use disorder0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  28. 36COPD & chronic lung disease0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  29. 37Oesophageal cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  30. 38COVID-190.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  31. 39Kidney cancer0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  32. 40Bladder cancer0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  33. 41Breast cancer0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  34. 42Prostate cancer0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  35. 43Dementia & Alzheimer's0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 800 70 22 22, the 24-hour support line for adults in crisis — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 27-year-old man in Poland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Poland (2023–2024), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 25–29 in Poland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 27-year-old man in Poland

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on NFZ screening programmes and the “Moje Zdrowie” health check. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.