Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 27-year-old man in the United States most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
27
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.16%
1 in 614
Next 10 years
2.1%
1 in 47
Life expectancy
77
about 50 more years on average
The surpriseAt 27, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's accidental poisoning & overdose.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Accidental poisoning & overdose29%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  2. 02Suicide14%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 03Road accidents12%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  4. 04Homicide9.1%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  5. 05Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  7. 07Heart failure & other heart disease2.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.8%
  8. 08Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.2%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
Show the other 37 causes26% together
  1. 09Other causes2.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  2. 10Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  3. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  4. 12Alcohol use disorder1.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  5. 13Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  6. 14Other accidents1.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  7. 15Diabetes1.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  8. 16Other digestive disease1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  9. 17Other cancers1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  10. 18Stroke0.91%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  11. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma0.80%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  12. 20Drowning0.79%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  13. 21Pneumonia & flu0.70%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  14. 22Colorectal cancer0.69%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  15. 23Falls0.64%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  16. 24Brain cancer0.63%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  17. 25Drug use disorder0.59%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  18. 26Congenital conditions0.58%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  19. 27Other lung disease0.57%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  20. 28Kidney disease0.56%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  21. 29COPD & chronic lung disease0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  22. 30COVID-190.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  23. 31Lung cancer0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  24. 32Stomach cancer0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  25. 33Liver cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  26. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  27. 35Pancreatic cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  28. 36Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  29. 37Other mental health conditions0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  30. 38Oesophageal cancer0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  31. 39Kidney cancer0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  32. 40Bladder cancer0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  33. 41Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 42Breast cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  35. 43Dementia & Alzheimer's<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  36. 44Prostate cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  37. 45Parkinson's disease<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 27-year-old man in the United States, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United States (2023–2024), CDC. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 25–29 in the United States

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 27-year-old man in the United States

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.