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Free risk check · real data

What is a 32-year-old man in Bulgaria most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
32
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.16%
1 in 645
Next 10 years
2.2%
1 in 45
Life expectancy
73
about 41 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease18%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 20%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.7%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  3. 03Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)8.6%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.6%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  5. 05Road accidents5.5%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  6. 06Suicide5.0%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  7. 07Other digestive disease4.9%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  8. 08Stroke4.8%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
Show the other 30 causes38% together
  1. 09Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)4.2%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  2. 10Pneumonia & flu4.0%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  3. 11Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.4%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  4. 12Other cancers2.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  5. 13Other accidents2.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  6. 14Other lung disease2.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.2%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  8. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  9. 17Kidney disease1.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 18Brain cancer1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  11. 19Lung cancer1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  12. 20Drowning1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  13. 21Colorectal cancer1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  14. 22Falls0.93%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  15. 23Accidental poisoning & overdose0.89%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  16. 24Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.88%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  17. 25Diabetes0.80%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  18. 26Homicide0.72%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  19. 27Stomach cancer0.55%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  20. 28Other causes0.49%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  21. 29Liver cancer0.46%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  22. 30Pancreatic cancer0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  23. 31Kidney cancer0.34%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  24. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  25. 33COVID-190.31%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  26. 34COPD & chronic lung disease0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  27. 35Oesophageal cancer0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  28. 36Other mental health conditions0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 37Alcohol use disorder0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 38Drug use disorder0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 32-year-old man in Bulgaria, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Bulgaria (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 30–34 in Bulgaria

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 32-year-old man in Bulgaria

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
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We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.