Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 32-year-old man in Italy most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
32
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.05%
1 in 1,847
Next 10 years
0.75%
1 in 133
Life expectancy
82
about 50 more years on average
The surpriseAt 32, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide13%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  2. 02Road accidents12%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  3. 03Other cancers5.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.7%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease4.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 07Other accidents4.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 08Other causes3.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
Show the other 35 causes47% together
  1. 09Leukaemia & lymphoma3.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  2. 10High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  3. 11Brain cancer3.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  4. 12Stroke2.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  5. 13Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  6. 14Other digestive disease2.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  7. 15Colorectal cancer2.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  8. 16Lung cancer2.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
  9. 17Accidental poisoning & overdose2.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  10. 18Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  11. 19Congenital conditions1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  12. 20Falls1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  13. 21Stomach cancer1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  14. 22Other lung disease1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  15. 23Melanoma (skin cancer)1.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  16. 24Pneumonia & flu1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  17. 25Homicide1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  18. 26Pancreatic cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  19. 27Diabetes1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  20. 28Drug use disorder1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  21. 29Liver cancer0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  22. 30Drowning0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  23. 31Other mental health conditions0.73%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  24. 32COVID-190.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  25. 33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  26. 34COPD & chronic lung disease0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  27. 35Kidney cancer0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  28. 36Kidney disease0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  29. 37Oesophageal cancer0.46%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  30. 38Alcohol use disorder0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  31. 39Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  32. 40Bladder cancer0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  33. 41Complications around birth0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 42Prostate cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  35. 43Parkinson's disease0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Telefono Amico on 02 2327 2327 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 32-year-old man in Italy, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Italy (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 30–34 in Italy

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 32-year-old man in Italy

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.