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What is a 32-year-old man in the Netherlands most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
32
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.06%
1 in 1,742
Next 10 years
0.80%
1 in 126
Life expectancy
81
about 49 more years on average
The surpriseAt 32, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide24%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  2. 02Road accidents6.1%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose5.8%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  4. 04Other cancers5.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease3.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  7. 07Leukaemia & lymphoma2.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  8. 08Other digestive disease2.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
Show the other 34 causes45% together
  1. 09Stroke2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  2. 10Brain cancer2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  3. 11Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  4. 12Colorectal cancer2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  5. 13Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  6. 14Alcohol use disorder2.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  7. 15Other causes2.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  8. 16Lung cancer2.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  9. 17Other accidents1.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  10. 18Homicide1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  11. 19Falls1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  12. 20Drug use disorder1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  13. 21Drowning1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  14. 22Diabetes1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  15. 23Other mental health conditions1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  16. 24Melanoma (skin cancer)1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  17. 25High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  18. 26Stomach cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  19. 27Liver cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  20. 28Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  21. 29Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  22. 30Pancreatic cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  23. 31Congenital conditions0.92%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  24. 32Pneumonia & flu0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  25. 33COVID-190.77%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  26. 34Other lung disease0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  27. 35Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.60%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  28. 36Oesophageal cancer0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  29. 37Kidney disease0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  30. 38Kidney cancer0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  31. 39Bladder cancer0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  32. 40COPD & chronic lung disease0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  33. 41Breast cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  34. 42Dementia & Alzheimer's0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 113, 113 Zelfmoordpreventie — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 32-year-old man in the Netherlands, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the Netherlands (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 30–34 in the Netherlands

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 32-year-old man in the Netherlands

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the RIVM population screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.