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Free risk check · real data

What is a 37-year-old man in Belgium most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
37
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.11%
1 in 923
Next 10 years
1.5%
1 in 67
Life expectancy
81
about 44 more years on average
The surpriseAt 37, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide19%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  2. 02Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)6.1%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  3. 03Road accidents5.3%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.3%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  5. 05Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)4.1%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease4.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  7. 07Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 08Lung cancer3.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
Show the other 33 causes48% together
  1. 09Other cancers3.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  2. 10Accidental poisoning & overdose3.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  3. 11Other accidents3.3%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 12Other digestive disease2.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  5. 13Alcohol use disorder2.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  6. 14Brain cancer2.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  7. 15Other causes2.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  8. 16Stroke2.3%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  9. 17High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  10. 18Colorectal cancer2.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  11. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  12. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  13. 21Drug use disorder1.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  14. 22Pancreatic cancer1.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  15. 23Falls1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  16. 24Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  17. 25Liver cancer1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  18. 26Other lung disease1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  19. 27Homicide1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  20. 28Drowning1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  21. 29COPD & chronic lung disease0.96%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  22. 30Stomach cancer0.90%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  23. 31Congenital conditions0.82%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  24. 32Diabetes0.73%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  25. 33Oesophageal cancer0.66%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  26. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.64%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  28. 36Other mental health conditions0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  29. 37Kidney disease0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  30. 38Kidney cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  31. 39Bladder cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  32. 40COVID-190.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  33. 41Prostate cancer0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 37-year-old man in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 35–39 in Belgium

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 37-year-old man in Belgium

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
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