Free risk check · real data

What is a 42-year-old man in Lithuania most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country

Age

Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months

0.39%

1 in 257

Next 10 years

6.1%

1 in 16

Life expectancy

about 33 more years on average

Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

01Heart attack & coronary heart disease14%
0.85% chance over 10 years · lifetime 31%
02Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)10%
0.63% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
03Suicide6.3%
0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
04Other digestive disease6.2%
0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
05Heart failure & other heart disease5.9%
0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
06Accidental poisoning & overdose5.3%
0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
07Other accidents4.3%
0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
08High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.8%
0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%

Show the other 36 causes44% together

09Mouth, throat & larynx cancer3.6%
0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
10Pneumonia & flu3.3%
0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.2%
0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
12Stroke3.2%
0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
13Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.8%
0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
14Falls2.3%
0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
15Road accidents2.1%
0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
16Lung cancer2.1%
0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
17Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.1%
0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
18Diabetes1.8%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
19Colorectal cancer1.7%
0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
20Other cancers1.5%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
21Other causes1.5%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
22Brain cancer1.4%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
23Oesophageal cancer1.3%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
24Drowning1.3%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
25Stomach cancer0.98%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
26Liver cancer0.96%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
27Leukaemia & lymphoma0.94%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
28Pancreatic cancer0.93%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
29Kidney cancer0.73%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
30Homicide0.72%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
31COPD & chronic lung disease0.69%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
32Kidney disease0.57%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
33Other lung disease0.43%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
34Prostate cancer0.31%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
35Alcohol use disorder0.22%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
36COVID-190.22%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
37Breast cancer0.17%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
38Drug use disorder0.17%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
39Bladder cancer0.16%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
40Melanoma (skin cancer)0.15%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
41Congenital conditions0.15%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
42Dementia & Alzheimer's0.12%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
43Parkinson's disease0.09%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
44Other mental health conditions0.03%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Vilties linija on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 42-year-old man in Lithuania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Lithuania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 40–44 in Lithuania

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old man in Lithuania

Blood pressure check
every year from 40 (every 3 years before)
Cholesterol & heart-risk check
from 40 (men) / 50 (women), then as your doctor advises
Blood sugar test (diabetes)
every 3 years from 35

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Bowel cancer in the family — earlier bowel check
often a colonoscopy every 5 years from 40 (or 10 years before your relative's age at diagnosis, if earlier) · ask your doctor

Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal

Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.