Free risk check · real data

What is a 47-year-old man in Switzerland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country

Age

Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months

0.15%

1 in 666

Next 10 years

2.4%

1 in 42

Life expectancy

about 36 more years on average

Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

01Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.2%
0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
02Suicide8.7%
0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
03Lung cancer7.7%
0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
04Heart failure & other heart disease4.4%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.7%
05High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.3%
0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
06Pancreatic cancer4.1%
0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
07Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)3.9%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
08Colorectal cancer3.5%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%

Show the other 35 causes54% together

09Other cancers3.5%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
10Brain cancer3.5%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
11Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.3%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
12COPD & chronic lung disease2.7%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
13Road accidents2.6%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
14Other digestive disease2.5%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
15Drug use disorder2.4%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
16Stroke2.4%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
17Alcohol use disorder2.3%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
18Other causes2.3%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
19Diabetes2.3%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
20Stomach cancer2.2%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
21Other accidents2.2%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
22Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.8%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
23Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.7%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
24Falls1.5%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
25Other mental health conditions1.5%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
26Congenital conditions1.5%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
27Liver cancer1.3%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
28Accidental poisoning & overdose1.3%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
29Leukaemia & lymphoma1.2%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
30Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.1%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
31Oesophageal cancer1.1%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
32Melanoma (skin cancer)1.1%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
33Kidney cancer1.1%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
34COVID-190.86%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
35Pneumonia & flu0.75%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
36Other lung disease0.58%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
37Drowning0.53%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
38Bladder cancer0.46%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
39Prostate cancer0.46%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
40Kidney disease0.18%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
41Homicide0.18%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
42Parkinson's disease0.13%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
43Dementia & Alzheimer's0.06%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Die Dargebotene Hand on 143 (a small charge per call) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old man in Switzerland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Switzerland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 45–49 in Switzerland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old man in Switzerland

Blood pressure check
every year from 40 (every 3 years before)
Cholesterol & heart-risk check
from 40 (men) / 50 (women), then as your doctor advises
Blood sugar test (diabetes)
every 3 years from 35

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Bowel cancer in the family — earlier bowel check
often a colonoscopy every 5 years from 40 (or 10 years before your relative's age at diagnosis, if earlier) · ask your doctor
Prostate cancer in the family — PSA test
from 45 (a father or brother diagnosed before 60), if you choose to be tested · ask your doctor

Based on Swiss federal insurance rules (KLV), cantonal programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal

Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.