Free risk check · real data

What is a 47-year-old man in Czechia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country

Age

Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months

0.29%

1 in 344

Next 10 years

4.8%

1 in 21

Life expectancy

about 32 more years on average

Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

01Heart attack & coronary heart disease14%
0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 19%
02Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)9.9%
0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
03Heart failure & other heart disease7.2%
0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.7%
0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
05Suicide4.4%
0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
06Other digestive disease4.4%
0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
07Lung cancer3.9%
0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
08Colorectal cancer3.7%
0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%

Show the other 35 causes48% together

09Other cancers3.5%
0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
10Stroke3.3%
0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
11Mouth, throat & larynx cancer3.1%
0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
12Pneumonia & flu2.7%
0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
13Other accidents2.6%
0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
14Pancreatic cancer2.4%
0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
15Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.2%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
16Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.2%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
17Diabetes2.1%
0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
18Accidental poisoning & overdose2.1%
0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
19COPD & chronic lung disease1.9%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
20Brain cancer1.8%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
21Road accidents1.8%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
22Falls1.6%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
23Oesophageal cancer1.6%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
24Leukaemia & lymphoma1.4%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
25Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.4%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
26Other causes1.4%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
27Stomach cancer1.3%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.88%
28Kidney cancer1.2%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
29Alcohol use disorder0.87%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
30Other lung disease0.79%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
31Liver cancer0.76%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
32Prostate cancer0.60%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.60%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
34Kidney disease0.57%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
35Bladder cancer0.56%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
36COVID-190.51%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
37Drowning0.39%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
38Congenital conditions0.23%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
39Homicide0.18%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
40Other mental health conditions0.11%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
41Dementia & Alzheimer's0.10%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
42Drug use disorder0.08%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
43Parkinson's disease0.06%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Linka první psychické pomoci on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old man in Czechia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Czechia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 45–49 in Czechia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old man in Czechia

Blood pressure check
every year from 40 (every 3 years before)
Bowel cancer screening (stool test)
ages 45–74: a stool test every 2 years, or a colonoscopy every 10 years
Cholesterol & heart-risk check
from 40 (men) / 50 (women), then as your doctor advises
Blood sugar test (diabetes)
every 3 years from 35

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Bowel cancer in the family — earlier bowel check
often a colonoscopy every 5 years from 40 (or 10 years before your relative's age at diagnosis, if earlier) · ask your doctor
Prostate cancer in the family — PSA test
from 45 (a father or brother diagnosed before 60), if you choose to be tested · ask your doctor

Based on Czech national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal

Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.