Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 47-year-old woman in Germany most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
47
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.13%
1 in 750
Next 10 years
2.2%
1 in 45
Life expectancy
84
about 37 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Breast cancer12%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  2. 02Lung cancer8.6%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  3. 03Other cancers5.7%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  4. 04Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)5.1%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  5. 05Uterine & ovarian cancer4.5%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.4%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  7. 07Colorectal cancer4.1%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.9%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
Show the other 38 causes51% together
  1. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.7%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  2. 10Stroke3.5%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  3. 11Other causes3.5%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  4. 12Suicide3.3%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  5. 13Pancreatic cancer3.0%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 14COPD & chronic lung disease2.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  7. 15Other digestive disease2.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  8. 16Heart failure & other heart disease2.6%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  9. 17Brain cancer2.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  10. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma2.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  11. 19Cervical cancer1.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  12. 20Stomach cancer1.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  13. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  14. 22Diabetes1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  15. 23Alcohol use disorder1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  16. 24Liver cancer1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  17. 25Other mental health conditions1.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  18. 26Pneumonia & flu1.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  19. 27COVID-190.95%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  20. 28Falls0.90%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  21. 29Congenital conditions0.85%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  22. 30Other lung disease0.83%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  23. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.81%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  24. 32Other accidents0.73%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  25. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.72%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  26. 34Road accidents0.70%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  27. 35Oesophageal cancer0.67%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  28. 36Kidney disease0.63%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  29. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.63%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  30. 38Accidental poisoning & overdose0.50%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 39Kidney cancer0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  32. 40Bladder cancer0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  33. 41Drug use disorder0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 42Dementia & Alzheimer's0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.7%
  35. 43Homicide0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  36. 44Drowning0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  37. 45Complications around birth0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  38. 46Parkinson's disease0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call TelefonSeelsorge on 0800 111 0 111 or 0800 111 0 222 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old woman in Germany, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Germany (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 45–49 in Germany

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Germany

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

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