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Free risk check · real data

What is a 47-year-old man in Serbia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
47
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.43%
1 in 234
Next 10 years
7.0%
1 in 14
Life expectancy
76
about 29 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease15%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 19%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease12%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease8.9%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  4. 04Lung cancer7.4%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  5. 05Stroke6.0%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.6%
  6. 06Other cancers3.7%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  7. 07Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)3.5%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  8. 08Colorectal cancer3.4%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
Show the other 36 causes40% together
  1. 09Suicide2.9%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  2. 10Other digestive disease2.6%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  3. 11Diabetes2.4%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  4. 12Mouth, throat & larynx cancer2.2%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  5. 13Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.2%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  6. 14Pneumonia & flu2.1%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  7. 15Pancreatic cancer2.0%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 17Road accidents1.7%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  10. 18Stomach cancer1.7%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  11. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  12. 20Kidney disease1.5%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  13. 21Other accidents1.4%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  14. 22Brain cancer1.3%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  15. 23COPD & chronic lung disease1.3%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  16. 24Kidney cancer1.1%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  17. 25Other lung disease1.1%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  18. 26Alcohol use disorder1.0%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  19. 27Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.85%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  20. 28Other causes0.84%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  21. 29Liver cancer0.83%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  22. 30Bladder cancer0.72%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  23. 31Oesophageal cancer0.70%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  24. 32Other mental health conditions0.65%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  25. 33Prostate cancer0.64%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  26. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.61%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  27. 35COVID-190.59%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  28. 36Falls0.57%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  29. 37Drowning0.35%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  30. 38Homicide0.31%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.19%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 40Drug use disorder0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 41Dementia & Alzheimer's0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  34. 42Congenital conditions0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  35. 43Breast cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  36. 44Parkinson's disease0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national SOS line on 0800 309 309, option 1 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old man in Serbia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Serbia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 45–49 in Serbia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old man in Serbia

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Serbia's national screening programmes (Batut Institute) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.