Free risk check · real data

What is a 47-year-old man in Slovenia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country

Age

Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months

0.23%

1 in 443

Next 10 years

4.0%

1 in 25

Life expectancy

about 33 more years on average

Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

01Heart attack & coronary heart disease13%
0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
02Suicide9.2%
0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
03Alcohol use disorder9.0%
0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
04Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)7.9%
0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
05Lung cancer7.2%
0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
06Colorectal cancer4.5%
0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
07Other cancers3.5%
0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
08Mouth, throat & larynx cancer3.1%
0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%

Show the other 36 causes43% together

09Heart failure & other heart disease3.0%
0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
10Stroke2.8%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.9%
11Brain cancer2.7%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
12Pancreatic cancer2.7%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.7%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
14Road accidents2.5%
0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
15Leukaemia & lymphoma2.5%
0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
16Other accidents2.4%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
17Stomach cancer2.1%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
18Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.8%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
19Falls1.7%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
20Kidney cancer1.6%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
21Liver cancer1.6%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
22Oesophageal cancer1.3%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
23Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.2%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
24Accidental poisoning & overdose1.1%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
25Melanoma (skin cancer)0.98%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
26Drug use disorder0.91%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
27Prostate cancer0.90%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
28Diabetes0.80%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
29Bladder cancer0.77%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
30Other causes0.60%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
31Other digestive disease0.56%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
32COVID-190.55%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
33Drowning0.54%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
34COPD & chronic lung disease0.49%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
35Congenital conditions0.47%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
36Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.40%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
37Pneumonia & flu0.38%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
38Other mental health conditions0.29%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
39Homicide0.22%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
40Other lung disease0.16%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
41Kidney disease0.15%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
42Parkinson's disease0.08%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
43Dementia & Alzheimer's0.05%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
44Breast cancer0.03%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Zaupni telefon Samarijan in Sopotnik on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old man in Slovenia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Slovenia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 45–49 in Slovenia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old man in Slovenia

Blood pressure check
every year from 40 (every 3 years before)
Cholesterol & heart-risk check
from 40 (men) / 50 (women), then as your doctor advises
Blood sugar test (diabetes)
every 3 years from 35

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Bowel cancer in the family — earlier bowel check
often a colonoscopy every 5 years from 40 (or 10 years before your relative's age at diagnosis, if earlier) · ask your doctor
Prostate cancer in the family — PSA test
from 45 (a father or brother diagnosed before 60), if you choose to be tested · ask your doctor

Based on the Slovenian national programmes Svit, DORA and ZORA and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal

Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.