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Free risk check · real data

What is a 52-year-old man in Croatia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
52
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.58%
1 in 173
Next 10 years
9.8%
1 in 10
Life expectancy
78
about 26 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease13%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  2. 02Lung cancer11%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  3. 03Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)7.7%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease7.3%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease5.0%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  6. 06Colorectal cancer5.0%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  7. 07Diabetes4.7%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  8. 08Stroke4.2%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
Show the other 36 causes43% together
  1. 09Mouth, throat & larynx cancer3.3%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  2. 10Alcohol use disorder3.2%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  3. 11Suicide3.2%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  4. 12Other cancers2.9%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 13COPD & chronic lung disease2.5%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  6. 14Pancreatic cancer2.4%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  7. 15Stomach cancer2.1%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma2.0%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 17Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.8%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  10. 18Other digestive disease1.8%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  11. 19Liver cancer1.5%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  12. 20Falls1.4%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  13. 21Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.4%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  14. 22Brain cancer1.3%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  15. 23Pneumonia & flu1.2%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  16. 24Kidney cancer1.2%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  17. 25Road accidents1.2%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  18. 26Other accidents1.1%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  19. 27Oesophageal cancer1.0%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  20. 28Melanoma (skin cancer)0.90%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  21. 29Prostate cancer0.87%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  22. 30Other causes0.71%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  23. 31Bladder cancer0.69%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  24. 32Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.68%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  25. 33Kidney disease0.52%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  26. 34COVID-190.48%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  27. 35Other mental health conditions0.30%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  28. 36Parkinson's disease0.30%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  29. 37Accidental poisoning & overdose0.28%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  30. 38Congenital conditions0.24%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 39Drug use disorder0.22%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 40Drowning0.18%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  33. 41Homicide0.18%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  34. 42Other lung disease0.17%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  35. 43Breast cancer0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  36. 44Dementia & Alzheimer's0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 52-year-old man in Croatia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Croatia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 50–54 in Croatia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 52-year-old man in Croatia

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Croatian national (HZJZ) screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.