Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 57-year-old man in Latvia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
57
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
1.7%
1 in 59
Next 10 years
22%
about 2 in 10
Life expectancy
76
about 19 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease22%
    4.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 26%
  2. 02Stroke9.2%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  3. 03Lung cancer7.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease7.0%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  5. 05High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  6. 06Mouth, throat & larynx cancer2.9%
    0.63% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  7. 07Other cancers2.8%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  8. 08Other digestive disease2.7%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
Show the other 36 causes40% together
  1. 09Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.6%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  2. 10Other accidents2.5%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  3. 11Colorectal cancer2.4%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  4. 12Pneumonia & flu2.4%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  5. 13Stomach cancer2.0%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 14Pancreatic cancer2.0%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  7. 15Diabetes1.9%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 16Prostate cancer1.8%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  9. 17Suicide1.8%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  10. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  11. 19COPD & chronic lung disease1.7%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  12. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.6%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  13. 21Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.5%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  14. 22Oesophageal cancer1.4%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  15. 23Liver cancer1.2%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  16. 24Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.2%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  17. 25Other causes1.1%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  18. 26Kidney cancer1.1%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  19. 27Alcohol use disorder1.0%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  20. 28Road accidents0.94%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  21. 29Bladder cancer0.94%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  22. 30Brain cancer0.85%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  23. 31Accidental poisoning & overdose0.78%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  24. 32Drowning0.66%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  25. 33Falls0.57%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  26. 34Kidney disease0.56%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  27. 35Dementia & Alzheimer's0.46%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  28. 36Homicide0.39%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  29. 37Other lung disease0.36%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  30. 38COVID-190.27%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  31. 39Melanoma (skin cancer)0.20%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  32. 40Other mental health conditions0.15%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  33. 41Parkinson's disease0.13%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  34. 42Congenital conditions0.05%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  35. 43Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 44Breast cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national crisis line on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 57-year-old man in Latvia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 55–59 in Latvia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 57-year-old man in Latvia

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Latvian National Health Service screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.