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Free risk check · real data

What is a 72-year-old man in Finland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
72
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
2.5%
1 in 40
Next 10 years
35%
about 3 in 10
Life expectancy
85
about 13 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease17%
    5.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's11%
    3.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 21%
  3. 03Stroke6.2%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.0%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.1%
  5. 05Lung cancer5.8%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  6. 06COVID-194.3%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  7. 07Other cancers3.9%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  8. 08COPD & chronic lung disease3.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
Show the other 36 causes42% together
  1. 09Prostate cancer3.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  2. 10Colorectal cancer3.3%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  3. 11Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 12Heart failure & other heart disease2.9%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  5. 13Pancreatic cancer2.8%
    0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma2.5%
    0.88% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  7. 15Parkinson's disease2.5%
    0.85% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 16Falls2.2%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  9. 17Other digestive disease2.1%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  10. 18Liver cancer1.7%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  11. 19Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.5%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  12. 20Diabetes1.4%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  13. 21Other lung disease1.3%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  14. 22Oesophageal cancer1.0%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  15. 23Bladder cancer0.97%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  16. 24Stomach cancer0.93%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  17. 25Other causes0.91%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  18. 26Kidney cancer0.83%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  19. 27Other accidents0.82%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  20. 28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.78%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  21. 29Melanoma (skin cancer)0.72%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  22. 30Alcohol use disorder0.66%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  23. 31Brain cancer0.57%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  24. 32Suicide0.56%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  25. 33Other mental health conditions0.40%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  26. 34Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.32%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  27. 35Road accidents0.29%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  28. 36Pneumonia & flu0.25%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  29. 37Drowning0.19%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  30. 38Kidney disease0.16%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  31. 39Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.15%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  32. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.14%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  33. 41Congenital conditions0.11%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  34. 42Homicide0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 43Breast cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 44Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the MIELI crisis line on 09 2525 0111 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 72-year-old man in Finland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Finland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 70–74 in Finland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 72-year-old man in Finland

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Finnish national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.